• Home
  • Education
  • News and Resources
  • Advocacy
  • Associate Members
  • Contact
  • Search
  • Menu Menu

Tag Archive for: Midwest Economic Forecast Forum

Posts

WBA Wisconsin Economic Report
News

Grocers Stand Up to COVID-19 — Bending but Not Breaking

By Brandon Scholz, WGA President & CEO

More than 22 months ago, the grocery industry was thrown right into the middle of the COVID-19 crisis before we knew it was a crisis and eventually a pandemic. Immediately, grocers were essential businesses and workers, and their job was to make sure people had access to food.

And they did their job despite mandates, masks, COVID-19 restrictions on employees and customers, a struggling economy, product shortages, workforce challenges, and more.

There was never a time to slow down and catch up, only opportunities to fine tune what was already a well-oiled grocery store machine.

But no matter what efforts grocers, convenience stores, and other retail food operations did during multiple transitional periods, there was always another obstacle when one problem was resolved!

The industry started to experience even greater challenges with shortage of products on the shelves, low inventory and incoming short orders — even worse than what was experienced during the pandemic.

Contributing to the growing angst of inventory shortages and not-quite-fully-stocked-shelves was the hyperactivity surrounding various CPI and rising inflation reports. And no tale of woe was complete without a dissertation on the patchy workforce in almost every business up and down Main Street, but especially in grocery stores across the state.

To top it all off, consumers started to hear about the problems with the supply chain whether it was getting products to the grocery store, making cars and trucks, or containers stacked to the sky’s in ports across the world.

Seriously, I have never heard so many people talking about the “supply chain” in the grocery industry as I have in the last four months.

For many, it’s an eye-opening moment coming to understand how food and products actually get on grocery store shelves. For others it’s the boogeyman that’s keeping the grocery biz from returning back to normal. As one WGA member said, we always took the supply chain for granted: it was efficient and effective.

Whatever that level of understanding is, it actually is a helpful teaching moment when we’re talking with the media, legislators, regulators, and others explaining what the grocery industry was going through in 2021 as we moved from the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak to the pandemic and now to an endemic with possible surges, mutant variants, and other unforeseen challenges.

As the pandemic, and now the endemic continue to be a daily part of our society, most experts say the industry is a ways away from store shelves returning back to “normal” and stocked to shopper’s pre-COVID expectations. To correct the imbalance, labor and workforce challenges, transportation/manufacturing/production constraints all have to be resolved.

As we forge ahead into 2022, there are a couple of things to keep in mind. First, we do not have a food shortage in this country. We have a challenge producing food and getting these products onto store shelves. Every component of the supply chain is involved in working to bring the system back to pre-COVID levels.

Second, yes, inflation is higher than it has been. But reports of grocery price increases across the board are not true. Yes, there are price increases. Yes, there are price increases greater than what we have seen in the past. But no, these price increases are not “across the board” that capture every product in the store. Pricing strategies are strategic; they are not haphazard.

Grocers work exceptionally hard to control price increases that are forced upon them as they receive products for their stores. Raising prices is one of the last steps a grocer takes. Shoppers are savvy and shop on price, quality, and service. Raise prices and customers know it.

As some point out though, grocers can’t fully absorb the price increases from the supply chain. Those price increases get passed on to consumers, but not until the grocer has run out of room to absorb those costs.

Looking back as we pulled out of 2020 and into 2021, we saw changing and evolving issues and challenges resulting from the initial COVID outbreak and how it ultimately affected the supply chain.

No doubt, that means we will continue to educate shoppers, the media, and others as to why grocery store shelves don’t look like they did before March 2020.

Moving forward into 2022, grocers will continue to manage the pandemic and deal with these challenges ahead. We need the government to stop issuing mandates and let grocers run their businesses. We need people to come back to work, not just for a job, but for a career.

—

The Wisconsin Grocers Association represents nearly 1,000 independent grocers, retail grocery chain stores, warehouses and distributors, convenience stores, food brokers and suppliers. Wisconsin grocers employ over 50,000 people with more than $1 billion in payroll and generates more than $12 billion in annual sales in Wisconsin resulting in approximately more than $800 million in state sales tax revenue. wisconsingrocers.com.

January 1, 2022/by Hannah Flanders
https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/wi-economic-report-banner.png 453 1484 Hannah Flanders https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Wisconsin-Bankers-Association-logo.svg Hannah Flanders2022-01-01 21:51:102022-01-07 14:58:10Grocers Stand Up to COVID-19 — Bending but Not Breaking
WBA Wisconsin Economic Report
News

Leading with Optimism Through Challenge

By Kevin Krentz, WFBF President

As we turn the page and close the chapter on the year 2021, it is certainly a year of reflection for those of us in Wisconsin agriculture. Coming off of a year that challenged us in more ways that we could count, we came into 2021 with a sense of optimism. As life slowly but surely progressed back to a resemblance of normal, we looked forward to the year ahead.

However, optimism was met with continued concern. Major supply chain disruptions that we first saw as a result of the pandemic in 2020 extended well into 2021, as well. The rising cost of inflation, now sitting at 6.2 percent, deeply hit the agriculture community on everything from equipment to fertilizer input costs. Combined with volatile fuel costs and extensive labor shortages across every industry, the cost of debt continues to rise for Wisconsin farmers.

These concerns are nothing to take lightly. Here in Wisconsin, agriculture contributes $104.8 billion to the state’s economy with over 64,700 farms on 14.3 million acres. When agriculture struggles, we all struggle. When looking at the aforementioned issues, there is a lot of discussion as to whether these challenges are transitory or short-term. However, farmers feel these issues will last well beyond 2022, specifically when looking at things like increased labor rates.

So where do we go from here? Known as the Dairy State and home to 6,700 dairy farms — more than any other state — Wisconsin needs to see change in the dairy markets. We need a market that allows for more products to be priced while creating more transparency within the market and the depooling process.

Additionally, we need to adequately address the labor shortages we are seeing in agriculture — especially within the dairy industry. Agriculture needs an immigration system that works here in Wisconsin and across the United States. This would entail the administration having a strong foreign policy. One that would protect our borders, allow for adequate immigration to fill our job needs and promote agriculture exports across the globe. This would create food security domestically while giving our farmers the ability to compete globally in the climate smart commodity markets. One that we are very well suited for.

Twenty-first century agriculture needs twenty-first century infrastructure. We have an aging infrastructure, and it needs updating. Ports and rail along with local roads help our value-added products make it around the globe. Broadband is essential. Connecting farmers with consumers along with monitoring crops and livestock in real-time takes reliable broadband that will help next generation farmers be successful.

Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation’s mission is “empowering the Wisconsin agricultural community through our grassroots membership to preserve and promote the advancement of agriculture”. Each year, county voting members set the policy that guides WFBF on local, state and national affairs. Our members look at challenges like these and set policy with the intention of moving Wisconsin agriculture forward.

Our members develop policies that guide us towards viable solutions. It can be beneficial for farmers to look at these operational challenges as opportunities. Knowing their cost of production and having proactive marketing plans allows farmers to remain successful in volatile markets when margins continue to tighten.

Despite these challenges, there is still plenty for agriculture to be optimistic about. Commodity markets provided a renewed sense of optimism in 2021 as we saw inverted grain markets this fall. The rising commodity prices we experienced throughout the fall are a phenomenon we do not typically see and gives farmers a thread of hope moving into 2022.

As we leap into the coming year, it is important to remember that markets still remain volatile. Now is a good time for farmers and their lenders to consider risk management strategies for the next season. There are many variables that farmers cannot control but being prepared, knowing their bottom line and being proactive will help them remain positive going into the new year.

—

Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation is the state’s largest general farm organization, representing farms of all sizes, commodities and, management styles. There are more 46,000 members that belong to WFBF. Voting Farm Bureau members annually set the policy the organization follows, and are involved in local, state and national affairs, making it a true grassroots organization.

January 1, 2022/by Hannah Flanders
https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/wi-economic-report-banner.png 453 1484 Hannah Flanders https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Wisconsin-Bankers-Association-logo.svg Hannah Flanders2022-01-01 21:50:092022-01-05 18:05:51Leading with Optimism Through Challenge
WBA Wisconsin Economic Report
News

Construction Industry Approaches 2022 with Cautious Optimism

By Robb Kahl, CBG Executive Director

2021 is receiving mixed reviews from the construction industry. For many, balance sheet forecasts remained strong as many contractors were completing projects negotiated and won pre-pandemic. In 2021, U.S. new construction starts from January–October rose, but the value of the spending was down for both private non-residential and public projects. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce third quarter Commercial Construction Index reflects increases again as contractor confidence and backlog indicators improved. Ongoing supply chain challenges and slowed construction starts remain a concern for both non-residential and transportation construction industries.

For years, Wisconsin has suffered from a lack of infrastructure investment, evident by the C grade awarded on Wisconsin’s infrastructure report card by the American Society of Civil Engineers. The much anticipated $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), signed in November, authorizes an additional $550 billion above baseline infrastructure spending. This infrastructure investment is critical to Wisconsin as it provides funds for the interconnected transportation network and supports expansion of broadband, bridge repair and clean energy transmission and power upgrades. Initial forecasts on the impact of the IIJA on Wisconsin’s transportation funding includes $5.2 billion for highway, $225 million for bridge, and $592 million for public transportation over the next five years.

The non-residential construction industry is following national trends with increases in the warehouse and food/beverage markets that rapidly expanded during the pandemic as retailers responded to new ways to connect shoppers with products, without entering their stores. K-12 education, traditionally a strong market for Wisconsin, is on a slowing trend as just over 50% of school referendums passed this spring. Health care construction has showed minor increases as the health systems continue to invest in smaller regional and specialized medical centers that provide more convenient access to residents. Multi-family residential construction remained strong throughout 2021 and is forecasted to continue in 2022 as workers have more flexibility in where to live, given employer willingness to accommodate flexible remote workers.

The top collective concern for the construction industry is availability and cost of building materials. Steel had a record price increase of 133% over the last 18 months; copper, aluminum, and lumber prices increased 40-65% over the same period. While faring better than many industries, worker shortages for the construction industry remain a concern with 74% of contractors planning to hire in the next year and 90% already seeking skilled craft workers. The vaccine mandate is expected to create additional workforce struggles as the construction industry lags other industries’ vaccination rates (53% for construction vs 81% for other occupations).

Wisconsin’s construction industry contributes to the quality of life we enjoy – by building the roads we travel, the workplaces that employ, the schools that teach, and the healthcare system that keeps us safe. It is important that we remain focused on investing in Wisconsin’s transportation infrastructure and building industry but must also play a bigger role in promoting the construction industry as an opportunity for both personally and financially rewarding career opportunities.

—

The Construction Business Group promotes and protects the construction industry. We ensure fair contracting laws are followed on public construction projects. We work cooperatively with contractors, employees and public entities by educating them on fair contracting laws, monitoring projects for fair contracting compliance, and identifying and helping to resolve compliance issues.

January 1, 2022/by Hannah Flanders
https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/wi-economic-report-banner.png 453 1484 Hannah Flanders https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Wisconsin-Bankers-Association-logo.svg Hannah Flanders2022-01-01 21:48:142022-01-03 21:48:30Construction Industry Approaches 2022 with Cautious Optimism
Education

From the Fields: How Would You Rate Your Ag Customers as Business Managers?

By Jeff Wilke, Denmark State Bank

As the calendar turns to 2022, there is no shortage of old and new challenges facing the ag customers we work with — continued high feed prices, escalating crop input costs, supply chain delays, labor shortages, etc. In order to weather the storm of this next round of challenges and future storms, it has never been more important for farmers to be good business managers.

That being said, the question I pose is — How would you rate the farmers you work with as business managers? This may be a subjective process in many ways. However, there are objective standards to consider when rating a farmer’s management skills or Business IQ, as Dr. David M. Kohl, Professor Emeritus, Ag & Applied Economics at Virginia Tech, calls it.

Per Dr. Kohl, Business IQ contains for cornerstones — Planning, Strategizing, Executing & Monitoring. From Dr. Kohl’s findings, ag producers with high management skills have plans for all areas of their farm operation, using those plans to prioritize their strategies; then executing those strategies using sound data, objectivity and intuition; and finally, and just as importantly, periodically monitoring the results.

From these cornerstones, Dr. Kohl has developed a Score Card that analyzes 15 management factors specific to ag producers. The Score Card can be found by doing a search for “Dr. David Kohl Business IQ”.

The factor getting the most attention is “Knows Cost of Production”. Other factors include creating goals, keeping a solid internal record keeping system, maintaining a modest lifestyle, continuously attending agricultural seminars/courses, and maintaining certain attitudes. Farmers who have many of the factors addressed in writing score much higher than those who have nothing documented.

In order to continue to build on their management skills, Dr. Kohl recommends that a farmer reexamine/re-score their Business IQ annually to see where progress has been made and where progress still needs to be made.

The bottom line is that a farmer that has strong management skills/Business IQ can navigate through challenging times (“weather the storms”) by keeping a close watch on their ability to plan, strategize, execute, and monitor the various aspects of their farm business.

Coming up on January 4, 2022, ag bankers have the opportunity to hear directly from Dr. Kohl as he shares his outlook for 2022 and beyond. Be sure to check out the Midwest Economic Forecast Forum, and you can even invite your ag customers to join your group to hear directly from Dr. Kohl as well. The session will be recorded and available for two weeks, so even in January 4 doesn’t work for you or your clients, check it out online.

Happy Holidays.

Wilke is Vice President, Agribusiness Lender at Denmark State Bank and serves on the WBA Agricultural Bankers Section Board.

December 29, 2021/by Lori Kalscheuer
https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/2_17-wi-banker_banner-agriculture-1.jpg 533 800 Lori Kalscheuer https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Wisconsin-Bankers-Association-logo.svg Lori Kalscheuer2021-12-29 17:21:512021-12-30 15:11:58From the Fields: How Would You Rate Your Ag Customers as Business Managers?
Triangle Background
Education, News

Midwest Economic Forecast Forum Virtual on January 4

By Kenneth D. Thompson, WBA Board chair, president and CEO of Capitol Bank, Madison

Ken Thompson HeadshotWe are closing out this calendar year with a better understanding of COVID-19 than we had at this time one year ago in 2020, however the ongoing pandemic casts a heightened degree of uncertainty onto predictions for the 2022 economy. As bankers, we are responsible for interpreting economic data and trends that will impact the financial health of our institutions, our customers, and our communities. To support us in this important aspect of our work, the Wisconsin Bankers Association and partners organize the Midwest Economic Forecast Forum annually. This year’s event is set to be an exciting opportunity to hear from nationally renowned experts as they present their perspectives on economic conditions that continue to be susceptible to the risks and challenges posed by the pandemic.

The forum will be held virtually on January 4, 2022 from 10:30 a.m.–noon CT. Individual and group rates will be available, giving banks the opportunity to invite their staff, business customers,
directors, and others to join in on the viewing as part of their group registration.

Headlining the event will be Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari, who will provide an economic outlook. Kashkari took office as president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis on January 1, 2016. In this role, he serves on the Federal Open Market Committee, bringing the Ninth District’s perspective to monetary policy discussions in Washington, D.C. In addition to his responsibilities as a monetary policymaker, Kashkari oversees all operations of the Bank, including supervision and regulation, treasury services, and
payments services.

Presenting on the topic of “Economic Mega Trends 2022 and Beyond” will be David Kohl, Ph.D., professor emeritus, Virginia Tech. Kohl will cover questions such as: What are the global economic disruptors and power shifts? How will trade, geopolitics, supply chains, climate changes, and weather in extremes impact competitors? How will the stimulus package and Central Bank’s accommodative policy impact strategic positioning? What are some major mega trends on the horizon? What are the lead and lag indicators that need to be on the dashboards of decision makers?

With the level of uncertainty surrounding our economy moving forward, bankers should be especially interested in attending this engaging and informative event. The year ahead will no doubt be affected by excess liquidity in the banking system, supply chain delays/disruptions, labor shortages, and inflation fears. Bankers need to have a keen eye on how these key economic drivers will impact their banks and clientele. I look forward to the discussion on these topics at the Midwest Economic Forecast Forum and hope many of you will join us.

November 9, 2021/by Cassandra Krause
https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Triangle-Backgrounds_Yellow-on-Light-Blue.jpg 972 1921 Cassandra Krause https://www.wisbank.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Wisconsin-Bankers-Association-logo.svg Cassandra Krause2021-11-09 14:37:222021-11-09 14:54:39Midwest Economic Forecast Forum Virtual on January 4
Page 2 of 212

Categories

  • Advocacy
  • Community
  • Compliance
  • Credit Unions
  • Education
  • Member News
  • News
  • Products
  • Resources
  • Uncategorized

Recent Posts

  • Bank First Announces Recent Promotions
  • First State Bank Donates $10K to the New London Community Fund
  • Intercity State Bank Awards 2022 Outstanding Tellers
  • Executive Letter: Lend Your Talents and Shape Your Industry
  • Wisconsin Bankers Association Welcomes Tyler Foti as Director- Government Relations

Archives

  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • July 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • November 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • June 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • January 2018
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • May 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • August 2016
WBA logo
  • About
  • Community
  • Subsidiaries
  • Staff

questions@wisbank.com

608-441-1200

4721 S Biltmore Ln.
Madison, WI 53718

Get our Newsletter!
Subscribe

© 2023 Wisconsin Bankers Association. All rights reserved. | Website Design by Bizzy Bizzy
Scroll to top

This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.

OKLearn more×

Cookie and Privacy Settings



How we use cookies

We may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.

Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.

Essential Website Cookies

These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.

Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refusing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.

We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.

We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.

Other external services

We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.

Google Webfont Settings:

Google Map Settings:

Google reCaptcha Settings:

Vimeo and Youtube video embeds:

Privacy Policy

You can read about our cookies and privacy settings in detail on our Privacy Policy Page.

Terms of Use
Accept settingsHide notification only

Subscribe

* indicates required








Membership